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Yosemite under Orion's gaze

Saturday, October 12, 2024

Stop, don't go

It is Yom Kippor. I am fasting and resting after yesterday's cystoscopy. Things looked pretty good, test results back in three weeks. Fingers crossed.

This happy fellow was in the bustling waiting room at the doctor's office. 

He has been a Coronado crossing guard for the last 16 years.

I'm not working today, taking the day off to reflect and heal. 

I'm also actually live streaming the services from Beth Israel.

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Our power went off yesterday afternoon. 

So happy it was restored a few hours later, thoughts of a new freezer full of beef slightly freaking me out.

I have been on a samurai movie jag of late. 

When the lights came back, I finished the 47 Ronin story from 1941, Chushingura.

I watched Yojimbo, Seven Samurai and Throne of blood as well last week.

Began Musashi, one of my favorite books, which no movie has ever done justice.

My uncle Eli Rubenstein loved these flicks.

Last week I was watching spaghetti westerns. Fistful of dollars was Eastwood's first Sergio Leone movie, 1964. When the movie came out, Kurosawa sent him a demand letter for 15% of the gate, which he actually paid.

You see he had stolen the story directly from Yojimbo. Like Magnificent Seven was pilfered for Seven Samurai. The TMC channel has a pretty good Criterion collection of these flicks.

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Jeff sent this northern lights shot from Fairbanks. He said that he has never seen red in the aurora before.

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Killing solar in Ohio.

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People with TDS like me will enjoy the Trumpy Trout video. Thanks for sending it over, Ralph.

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Why people think they are always right.

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You know people like me that think that they know all the answers? Well, sometimes they just think they do, even when they only have half the information. Interesting new study, The illusion of information inadequacy.

...in the bias of naïve realism people assume that their subjective construal of a situation represents objective truth. The present study adds an important assumption to this list of biases: the illusion of information adequacy. Specifically, because individuals rarely pause to consider what information they may be missing, they assume that the cross-section of relevant information to which they are privy is sufficient to adequately understand the situation. Participants in our preregistered study (N = 1261) responded to a hypothetical scenario in which control participants received full information and treatment participants received approximately half of that same information. We found that treatment participants assumed that they possessed comparably adequate information and presumed that they were just as competent to make thoughtful decisions based on that information. Participants’ decisions were heavily influenced by which cross-section of information they received. Finally, participants believed that most other people would make a similar decision to the one they made.

On a similar topic, Cognitive biases and brain biology explain why facts don't change minds.

Facts First” is the tagline of a CNN branding campaign which contends that “once facts are established, opinions can be formed.” The problem is that while it sounds logical, this appealing assertion is a fallacy not supported by research.

Cognitive psychology and neuroscience studies have found that the exact opposite is often true when it comes to politics: People form opinions based on emotions, such as fear, contempt and anger, rather than relying on facts. New facts often do not change people’s minds.

Partly to blame is a cognitive bias that can kick in when people encounter evidence that runs counter to their beliefs. Instead of reevaluating what they’ve believed up until now, people tend to reject the incompatible evidence. Psychologists call this phenomenon belief perseverance. Everyone can fall prey to this ingrained way of thinking.

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People who know it all are actually quite dumb and often wrong - study.

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Why incompetent people think they are superior - The Dunning Kruger effect.

The basic idea behind the Dunning-Kruger effect is this: if you don't know something, you also don't have the ability to recognize that you don't know it.

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Have a good weekend. 

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