According to The Cook Political Report, the presidential race is now virtually unwinnable for John McCain.
October 13, 2008
Since early September this race has shifted rather dramatically in Obama's favor. As long as the focus is almost exclusively on the economy, this race is almost unwinnable for McCain. It would take a major external event, the proverbial October Surprise, to shift the spotlight to national security or some other subject that would allow McCain to highlight his strengths. At this stage, the most relevant question would seem to be: "How big will the train wreck be for the Republican Party up and down the ballot in November." Obama currently has a 260 to 158 Electoral vote edge, with 120 Electoral votes in the Toss Up column. 270 are needed to win.
They expect the dems to pick up between 10 to 15 seats in the House and 5 to 8 in the Senate.
In the Senate New Mexico, Arkansas and Louisiana are all leaning Democrat with Colorado, New Hampshire, Oregon and Minnesota a tossup. Oklahoma, Maine, Nebraska and Kentucky are leaning Republican.
Today's Wall Street Journal points out that the Republicans numbers are falling drastically in the south, with previously unthinkable states now in play with Virginia, North Carolina, Florida, Georgia and Mississippi all very close.
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